Based on the Valvoline Inc stock forecast from 4 analysts, the average analyst target price for Valvoline Inc is USD 45.20 over the next 12 months. Valvoline Inc’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Valvoline Inc is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 5 positive signals and 11 negative signals. At the last closing, Valvoline Inc’s stock price was USD 42.86. Valvoline Inc’s stock price has changed by +4.05% over the past week, -3.84% over the past month and +24.05% over the last year.
Analyst Ratings
Target Price Action
Rating Action
Analyst
Rating
Price
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Stock Target Advisor's Analysis
This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
What to like
Low volatility
The stock’s annual returns have been stable and consistent compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. Although stability is good, also keep in mind it can limit returns.
Superior risk adjusted returns
This stock has performed well, on a risk adjusted basis, compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.
Positive free cash flow
The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Superior Dividend Growth
This stock has shown top quartile dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
Superior return on equity
The company management has delivered better return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
What not to like
Poor capital utilization
The company management has delivered below median return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.
Poor return on assets
The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.
Overpriced compared to book value
The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.
Overpriced compared to earnings
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.
Below median dividend returns
The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.
Below median total returns
The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.
Negative cashflow
The company had negative total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Low Revenue Growth
This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
Low Earnings Growth
This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
Highly leveraged
The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.
Overpriced on free cash flow basis
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to free cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.
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