ARCH:NYE-Arch Resources Inc (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Thermal Coal | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 100.64

Change

+3.43 (+3.53)%

Market Cap

USD 1.48B

Volume

0.60M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 97.14 (-3.47%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) Stock Analysis:
Based on the Arch Resources Inc stock forecasts from 3 analysts, the average analyst target price for Arch Resources Inc is USD 97.14 over the next 12 months. Arch Resources Inc’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Arch Resources Inc is Neutral, which is based on 7 positive signals and 8 negative signals. At the last closing, Arch Resources Inc’s stock price was USD 100.64. Arch Resources Inc’s stock price has changed by +1.32% over the past week, +13.49% over the past month and +96.60% over the last year.

About

Arch Resources, Inc. produces and sells thermal and metallurgical coal from surface and underground mines. As of December 31, 2020, the company operated seven active mines. It also owned or controlled primarily through long-term leases approximately 28,292 acres of coal land in O ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

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Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-01-19 )

Largest Industry Peers for Thermal Coal

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation

-0.65 (-4.95%)

USD1.72B 9.82 10.02
CEIX CONSOL Energy Inc

-0.94 (-3.65%)

USD0.88B 19.63 7.34
NRP Natural Resource Partners L.P

-0.33 (-0.88%)

USD0.47B 20.75 5.74
NC NACCO Industries Inc

-0.09 (-0.26%)

USD0.25B 7.12 3.67
CCR CONSOL Coal Resources LP

N/A

USD0.13B 9.90 6.31

ETFs Containing ARCH

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap
KOL VanEck Vectors Coal ETF 0.00 % 0.60 %

N/A

USD0.04B

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Thermal Coal)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 10.21% 60% D- 94% A
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 10.21% 60% D- 94% A
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain 96.60% 40% F 97% A+
Dividend Return 0.49% 33% F 8% F
Total Return 97.09% 40% F 97% A+
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 36.93% 100% A+ 59% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 36.93% 100% A+ 49% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 10.63% 60% D- 62% D-
Dividend Return 1.41% 25% F 34% F
Total Return 12.04% 40% F 59% F
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 56.57% 80% B- 16% F
Risk Adjusted Return 21.29% 40% F 26% F
Market Capitalization 1.48B 80% B- 55% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Thermal Coal)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 49.40 20% F 14% F
Price/Book Ratio 3.13 20% F 32% F
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 24.21 20% F 18% F
EV/EBITDA 10.06 20% F 60% D-
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 8.32% 60% D- 40% F
Return on Invested Capital -12.90% 20% F 9% F
Return on Assets 3.10% 80% B- 55% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 168.29% 20% F 21% F
Technical Ratios  
Short Ratio 10.40 20% F 3% F
Short Percent 29.21% 20% F 21% F
Beta 0.97 60% D- 58% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

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User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
High market capitalization

This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.

Low volatility

The stock’s annual returns have been stable and consistent compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. Although stability is good, also keep in mind it can limit returns.

Superior return on assets

The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Superior Earnings Growth

This stock has shown top quartile earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.

Superior Revenue Growth

This stock has shown top quartile revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

Below median total returns

The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.

Below median dividend returns

The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Overpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Highly leveraged

The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.