AMBC:NYE-Ambac Financial Group Inc (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Insurance-Specialty | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 16.21

Change

+0.07 (+0.43)%

Market Cap

USD 0.73B

Volume

0.42M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 18.00 (+11.04%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


AMBC Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the Ambac Financial Group Inc stock forecasts from 1 analysts, the average analyst target price for Ambac Financial Group Inc is USD 18.00 over the next 12 months. Ambac Financial Group Inc’s average analyst rating is Hold . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Ambac Financial Group Inc is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 5 positive signals and 8 negative signals. At the last closing, Ambac Financial Group Inc’s stock price was USD 16.21. Ambac Financial Group Inc’s stock price has changed by +0.06% over the past week, +18.93% over the past month and +3.31% over the last year.

About Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC:NYE)

Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. It offers financial guarantee insurance policies; specialty property & casualty progr ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

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Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-12-08 )

Largest Industry Peers for Insurance-Specialty

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
RYAN Ryan Specialty Group Holdings ..

+0.45 (+1.11%)

USD10.69B 82.18 N/A
FNF Fidelity National Financial In..

-0.14 (-0.37%)

USD10.19B 6.56 N/A
AIZP Assurant, Inc

N/A

USD7.47B 18.24 N/A
AIZ Assurant Inc

+0.98 (+0.76%)

USD6.82B 12.41 N/A
FAF First American Corporation

+0.73 (+1.41%)

USD5.40B 4.68 N/A
ESNT Essent Group Ltd

+0.07 (+0.19%)

USD4.04B 4.70 N/A
MTG MGIC Investment Corp

+0.13 (+1.00%)

USD3.84B 4.85 N/A
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd

+0.16 (+0.25%)

USD3.80B 15.73 N/A
RDN Radian Group Inc

+0.17 (+0.93%)

USD2.86B 4.15 N/A
EIG Employers Holdings Inc

+0.20 (+0.46%)

USD1.19B 22.10 N/A

ETFs Containing AMBC

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Insurance-Specialty)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 1.00% 75% C 81% B-
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 1.00% 75% C 78% C+
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain 5.67% 67% D+ 85% B
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 5.67% 67% D+ 83% B
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 7.99% 70% C- 57% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 7.99% 50% F 45% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain -6.18% 17% F 16% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return -6.18% 17% F 14% F
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 21.77% 75% C 52% F
Risk Adjusted Return -28.40% 17% F 18% F
Market Capitalization 0.73B 25% F 53% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Insurance-Specialty)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 2.30 91% A- 96% A
Price/Book Ratio 0.72 92% A- 86% B
Price / Cash Flow Ratio -5.54 100% A+ 83% B
EV/EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 29.24% 82% B- 82% B-
Return on Invested Capital 15.38% 92% A- 81% B-
Return on Assets 2.20% 50% F 48% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 214.84% 20% F 15% F
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Short Ratio 4.94 42% F 20% F
Short Percent 6.86% 25% F 35% F
Beta 1.24 50% F 33% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

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User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Low volatility

The stock’s annual returns have been stable and consistent compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. Although stability is good, also keep in mind it can limit returns.

Underpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

Underpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to book value basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

Superior return on equity

The company management has delivered better return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Superior capital utilization

The company management has delivered better return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

What to not like:
Low market capitalization

This is among the smaller entities in its sectors with below median market capitalization. That may make it less stable in the long run unless it has a unique technology or market which can help it grow or get acquired in future.

Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

Below median dividend returns

The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.

Poor return on assets

The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Highly leveraged

The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.

Negative cashflow

The company had negative total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Revenue Growth

This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector