ALK:NYE-Alaska Air Group Inc (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Airlines | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 54.37

Change

-0.61 (-1.11)%

Market Cap

USD 6.99B

Volume

1.30M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 78.60 (+44.57%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Stock Analysis:
Based on the Alaska Air Group Inc stock forecasts from 4 analysts, the average analyst target price for Alaska Air Group Inc is USD 78.60 over the next 12 months. Alaska Air Group Inc’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Alaska Air Group Inc is Bearish, which is based on 2 positive signals and 7 negative signals. At the last closing, Alaska Air Group Inc’s stock price was USD 54.37. Alaska Air Group Inc’s stock price has changed by -0.78% over the past week, +4.34% over the past month and -2.58% over the last year.

About

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. It flies to approximately 115 destinations throughout the United States and North America. The ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-01-19 )

Largest Industry Peers for Airlines

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
LUV Southwest Airlines Co

-1.00 (-2.20%)

USD26.89B 9,728.24 13.54
DAL Delta Air Lines Inc

-0.72 (-1.82%)

USD25.66B 91.11 42.70
ZNH China Southern Airlines Compan..

-0.54 (-1.66%)

USD16.66B 22.69 2.52
CEA China Eastern Airlines Corpora..

-0.73 (-3.58%)

USD13.42B 24.76 2.45
CPA Copa Holdings S.A

-0.82 (-0.98%)

USD3.74B 98.54 34.36
SAVE Spirit Airlines Inc

-0.31 (-1.35%)

USD2.52B 230.00 122.44
VLRS Controladora Vuela Compañía ..

-0.77 (-4.00%)

USD2.25B 14.03 0.56
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A

N/A

USD1.83B 3.82 0.22
AZUL Azul S.A

+0.16 (+1.16%)

USD1.65B 16.74 4.51
GOL Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligente..

+0.08 (+1.35%)

USD0.96B 333.99 0.79

ETFs Containing ALK

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap
JETS U.S. Global Jets ETF 0.00 % 0.60 %

-0.34 (-1.56%)

USD3.23B
WBIB WBI BullBear Value 2000 E.. 0.00 % 1.06 %

N/A

USD7.74M
WBID WBI BullBear Quality 2000.. 0.00 % 1.06 %

N/A

USD6.82M

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Airlines)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 4.36% 70% C- 85% B
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 4.36% 70% C- 85% B
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -2.58% 70% C- 34% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return -2.58% 70% C- 27% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain -42.59% 22% F 11% F
Dividend Return 4.49% 50% F 12% F
Total Return -38.10% 22% F 10% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain -0.22% 30% F 19% F
Dividend Return 1.32% 67% D+ 31% F
Total Return 1.09% 30% F 17% F
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 44.30% 50% F 23% F
Risk Adjusted Return 2.47% 30% F 15% F
Market Capitalization 6.99B 60% D- 77% C+
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Airlines)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 536.44 20% F 2% F
Price/Book Ratio 1.83 63% D 50% F
Price / Cash Flow Ratio -29.88 90% A- 93% A
EV/EBITDA 15.60 40% F 37% F
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 0.37% 89% B+ 28% F
Return on Invested Capital -6.59% 60% D- 14% F
Return on Assets -3.36% 50% F 10% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 78.88% 60% D- 46% F
Technical Ratios  
Short Ratio 2.02 40% F 49% F
Short Percent 3.53% 70% C- 47% F
Beta 1.63 30% F 19% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Superior return on equity

The company management has delivered better return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Below median dividend returns

The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Negative cashflow

The company had negative total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Overpriced on free cash flow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to free cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.