ABR:NYE-Arbor Realty Trust (USD)

COMMON STOCK | REIT-Mortgage | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 14.66

Change

+0.07 (+0.48)%

Market Cap

USD 2.48B

Volume

0.95M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 17.08 (+16.53%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


ABR Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the Arbor Realty Trust stock forecasts from 5 analysts, the average analyst target price for Arbor Realty Trust is USD 17.08 over the next 12 months. Arbor Realty Trust’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Arbor Realty Trust is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 8 positive signals and 5 negative signals. At the last closing, Arbor Realty Trust’s stock price was USD 14.66. Arbor Realty Trust’s stock price has changed by +0.14% over the past week, +6.00% over the past month and -18.83% over the last year.

About Arbor Realty Trust (ABR:NYE)

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. It primarily ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-11-29 )

Largest Industry Peers for REIT-Mortgage

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
NLY-PD Annaly Capital Management, Inc

N/A

USD13.12B N/A N/A
NLY-PF Annaly Capital Management Inc

-0.05 (-0.20%)

USD12.88B 13.96 N/A
NLY-PG Annaly Capital Management Inc

-0.26 (-1.11%)

USD12.69B 13.23 N/A
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc

+0.16 (+0.76%)

USD10.13B 2.88 N/A
STWD Starwood Property Trust Inc

+0.03 (+0.14%)

USD6.79B 8.18 N/A
AGNC AGNC Investment Corp

-0.05 (-0.51%)

USD5.58B 9.75 N/A
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

+0.12 (+0.49%)

USD4.29B 10.12 N/A
RITM Rithm Capital Corp.

+0.08 (+0.91%)

USD4.27B 4.62 N/A
CIM-PB Chimera Investment Corporation

+0.07 (+0.35%)

USD2.86B 28.09 N/A
CIM-PD Chimera Investment Corporation

-0.25 (-1.26%)

USD2.79B 27.15 N/A

ETFs Containing ABR

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap
HIPS GraniteShares HIPS US Hig.. 0.00 % 2.41 %

-0.01 (-0.12%)

USD0.06B
MORT VanEck Mortgage REIT Inco.. 0.00 % 0.41 %

+0.07 (+0.55%)

USD0.16B
SRET Global X SuperDividend® .. 0.00 % 0.58 %

+0.07 (+0.94%)

USD0.29B
MVRL ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X L.. 0.00 % 0.00 %

+0.13 (+0.58%)

USD0.04B

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (REIT-Mortgage)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain -19.98% 65% D 41% F
Dividend Return 8.41% 85% B 94% A
Total Return -11.57% 71% C- 55% F
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -16.47% 75% C 45% F
Dividend Return 8.77% 74% C 93% A
Total Return -7.69% 80% B- 58% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 70.86% 100% A+ 86% B
Dividend Return 74.83% 100% A+ 100% A+
Total Return 145.69% 100% A+ 94% A
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 21.06% 97% A+ 86% B
Dividend Return 10.76% 94% A 98% A+
Total Return 31.81% 97% A+ 91% A-
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 53.79% 9% F 16% F
Risk Adjusted Return 59.15% 99% A+ 86% B
Market Capitalization 2.48B 74% C 70% C-
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(REIT-Mortgage)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 7.62 85% B 78% C+
Price/Book Ratio 1.15 3% F 65% D
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 11.45 23% F 33% F
EV/EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 14.68% 77% C+ 65% D
Return on Invested Capital 4.22% 64% D 46% F
Return on Assets 2.50% 75% C 51% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 313.26% 24% F 9% F
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 10.93% 61% D- 92% A-
Short Ratio 3.05 47% F 38% F
Short Percent 4.32% 49% F 45% F
Beta 1.88 3% F 9% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Superior risk adjusted returns

This stock has performed well, on a risk adjusted basis, compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

Superior total returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual total returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

High dividend returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.

Underpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

Superior return on equity

The company management has delivered better return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Superior return on assets

The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Superior Earnings Growth

This stock has shown top quartile earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.

What to not like:
High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Overpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Highly leveraged

The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.