CAKE:NSD-The Cheesecake Factory (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Restaurants | NSD

Last Closing Price

USD 33.67

Change

+1.36 (+4.21)%

Market Cap

USD 1.72B

Volume

1.13M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 37.84 (+12.39%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


CAKE Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the The Cheesecake Factory stock forecasts from 11 analysts, the average analyst target price for The Cheesecake Factory is USD 37.84 over the next 12 months. The Cheesecake Factory’s average analyst rating is Hold . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of The Cheesecake Factory is Bearish, which is based on 3 positive signals and 10 negative signals. At the last closing, The Cheesecake Factory’s stock price was USD 33.67. The Cheesecake Factory’s stock price has changed by +14.56% over the past week, +24.20% over the past month and -24.47% over the last year.

About The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE:NSD)

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The compa ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-08-12 )

Largest Industry Peers for Restaurants

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
SBUX Starbucks Corporation

+1.04 (+1.19%)

USD100.13B 24.58 16.19
DNKN Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc

N/A

USD8.78B 40.18 24.74
TXRH Texas Roadhouse Inc

+1.89 (+2.05%)

USD6.16B 25.19 15.58
WEN The Wendy’s Co

+0.11 (+0.52%)

USD4.53B 24.19 17.05
WING Wingstop Inc

+2.14 (+1.58%)

USD4.06B 101.99 56.71
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Sto..

+2.48 (+2.35%)

USD2.41B 18.36 11.14
BLMN Bloomin Brands Inc

+0.15 (+0.65%)

USD2.07B 31.35 12.05
JACK Jack In The Box Inc

+2.76 (+3.25%)

USD1.74B 14.23 16.07
KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc

+0.45 (+0.49%)

USD0.89B 484.80 454.65
RUTH Ruth's Hospitality Group Inc

+0.47 (+2.40%)

USD0.63B 14.53 12.82

ETFs Containing CAKE

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Restaurants)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain -14.00% 59% F 51% F
Dividend Return 1.38% 53% F 50% F
Total Return -12.62% 59% F 51% F
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -23.74% 48% F 44% F
Dividend Return 1.22% 21% F 27% F
Total Return -22.51% 48% F 44% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain -24.84% 30% F 29% F
Dividend Return 8.50% 42% F 35% F
Total Return -16.34% 38% F 29% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 7.09% 41% F 64% D
Dividend Return 1.51% 38% F 43% F
Total Return 8.61% 44% F 63% D
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 64.30% 47% F 21% F
Risk Adjusted Return 13.39% 38% F 49% F
Market Capitalization 1.72B 79% C+ 76% C
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Restaurants)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 21.03 44% F 41% F
Price/Book Ratio 4.69 33% F 20% F
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 8.09 58% F 33% F
EV/EBITDA 18.58 31% F 16% F
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 25.87% 67% D+ 89% B+
Return on Invested Capital 10.49% 53% F 76% C
Return on Assets 2.75% 41% F 71% C-
Debt to Equity Ratio 141.15% 28% F 15% F
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 3.60% 69% D+ 65% D
Short Ratio 7.30 25% F 21% F
Short Percent 21.22% 3% F 7% F
Beta 1.47 66% D 26% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
High market capitalization

This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Below median total returns

The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.

Below median dividend returns

The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Overpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.

Poor return on assets

The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Highly leveraged

The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.

Overpriced on free cash flow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to free cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector