AAV:TSX-Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. (CAD)

COMMON STOCK | Oil & Gas E&P | TSX

Last Closing Price

CAD 8.73

Change

+0.44 (+5.31)%

Market Cap

CAD 1.57B

Volume

1.20M

Avg Analyst Target

CAD 11.60 (+32.93%)

Avg User Target

CAD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


AAV Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. stock forecasts from 11 analysts, the average analyst target price for Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. is CAD 11.60 over the next 12 months. Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. is Neutral, which is based on 5 positive signals and 6 negative signals. At the last closing, Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.’s stock price was CAD 8.73. Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.’s stock price has changed by -3.75% over the past week, -16.46% over the past month and +89.37% over the last year.

About Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. (AAV:CA:TSX)

Advantage Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, exploits, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Province of Alberta, Canada. The company focuses on the development and production of oil and natural gas resource that include ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-06-28 )

Largest Industry Peers for Oil & Gas E&P

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
CNQ:CA Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

+3.09 (+4.50%)

CAD82.92B 9.06 5.09
CNU:CA CNOOC Limited

N/A

CAD58.77B 5.65 0.75
TOU:CA Tourmaline Oil Corp.

+3.62 (+5.32%)

CAD21.39B 10.08 7.10
OVV:CA Ovintiv Inc

+1.70 (+2.79%)

CAD15.24B 14.04 10.27
ARX:CA ARC Resources Ltd.

+1.41 (+8.81%)

CAD10.89B 21.14 7.01
WCP:CA Whitecap Resources Inc.

+0.53 (+5.75%)

CAD5.78B 2.29 1.88
CPG:CA Crescent Point Energy Corp.

+0.49 (+5.08%)

CAD5.53B 1.58 1.46
MEG:CA MEG Energy Corp

+0.50 (+2.67%)

CAD5.47B 8.43 5.65
ERF:CA Enerplus Corporation

+1.05 (+5.91%)

CAD4.90B 14.79 7.84
POU:CA Paramount Resources Ltd.

+2.01 (+6.52%)

CAD4.09B 12.09 9.07

ETFs Containing AAV:CA

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Oil & Gas E&P)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 17.81% 22% F 94% A
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 17.81% 22% F 94% A
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain 77.44% 42% F 97% A+
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 77.44% 40% F 97% A+
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 1.75% 37% F 50% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 1.75% 35% F 38% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 40.91% 48% F 93% A
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 40.91% 44% F 93% A
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 107.96% 50% F 6% F
Risk Adjusted Return 37.89% 43% F 49% F
Market Capitalization 1.57B 64% D 73% C
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Oil & Gas E&P)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 3.87 64% D 85% B
Price/Book Ratio 1.16 80% B- 58% F
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 7.05 38% F 44% F
EV/EBITDA 2.66 72% C- 90% A-
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 34.19% 61% D- 92% A-
Return on Invested Capital 6.68% 18% F 63% D
Return on Assets 8.24% 47% F 85% B
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.48% 87% B+ 82% B-
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Short Ratio 4.34 20% F 39% F
Short Percent 2.06% 27% F 31% F
Beta 1.80 81% B- 14% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (CAD)

Quarterly Financials (CAD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Underpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to book value basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

Low debt

The company is less leveraged than its peers ,, and is among the top quartile, which makes it more flexible. However, do check the news and look at its sector. Sometimes this is low because the company is not growing and has no growth potential.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Superior Earnings Growth

This stock has shown top quartile earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Below median dividend returns

The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Poor capital utilization

The company management has delivered below median return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Poor return on assets

The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.