Global Markets
Canadian Markets
Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite jumped almost 2 percent on de-escalation talk for the middle east, as energy infrastructure raised the probability of supply disruptions. During intraday trading, 9 of the 11 sectors in the TSX posted gains today, with the IT sector leading themarket higher. Gold experienced a sharp liquidation phase, with Gold falling more than 5% to a four-month low. This move extended what was already its steepest weekly decline in decades, signaling a decisive shift in macro positioning. The Bank of Canada stated that under current pre-existing macro factors it would have cut rates going forward, however the conflict in the middle east could cause monetary policy to shift the other way to combat inflation if energy prices stay elevated.
American Markets
US stocks rose as stocks rebounded as traders bought the dip on the pause of military operations in Iran, as oil pulled back under $90. The U.S. 10 Year Treasury climbed to eight-month highs, a move that reflects both inflation expectations, driven by higher energy prices, and a repricing of central bank policy paths, particularly for the Federal Reserve. Simultaneously, the U.S. dollar strengthened materially, supported by safe-haven flows and widening rate differentials.
European Markets
European stocks rose, however the overall market tone remained unerved as investors weighed the stagflationary implications of higher oil prices, slower growth combined with persistent inflation. The ECB forecasts that AI may boost productivity in the eurozone by at least 4% in 10 years.
UK stocks dropped on losses in Utilities, Oil & Gas Producers and telecommunications sectors. UK job postings rose to 1.53 million in February 2026, up 5% month-over-month but only 0.7% year-over-year, indicating a labour market that remains resilient but is no longer strongly expanding. The increase suggests continued hiring demand and tight labour conditions, particularly in lower-wage, high-turnover sectors, while underlying growth in higher-skilled areas appears more subdued. This persistent tightness is likely to keep wage pressures elevated, complicating the policy outlook for the Bank of England by reinforcing a higher-for-longer interest rate stance, as the labour market is not cooling quickly enough to materially ease inflationary pressures.
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