Market Analysis: July 29th, 2025

Cadence Design Systems Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $390 from $330 after the company raised its full-year guidance due to surging demand for its advanced chip design tools. • Centene Corp: Jefferies cuts target price to $25 from $47 expecting continued pressure due to uncertainty around Medicaid and limited visibility into margin improvement. • Walt Disney Co: JPMorgan raises target price to $138 from $130 citing potential for a modest outlook increase driven by strength across multiple segments. • Western Union Co: JPMorgan cuts target price to $9 from $11 due to rising costs associated with addressing fraud issue and system upgrades, alongside weaker sales and growth outlook.

Energy-Led Surge, Global Divergence as Trade and Earnings Shake Investor Sentiment

Canadian Markets

Canada’s main stock index climbed on Tuesday, lifted heavily by a 4% surge in crude oil prices, as geopolitical risks and trade tensions fueled a risk-hedging rally in energy equities. Traders remain on edge amid no trade deal yet between Canada and the United States, with the August 1st deadline looming. The TSX’s gain, however, was uneven—Air Canada plunged 12% after a disappointing earnings release that revealed weaker-than-expected consumer travel demand, amplifying worries about discretionary spending across Canadian households.

American Markets

U.S. markets reversed from early-session highs, ending the day in the red. The reversal was attributed to rising anxiety over the lack of progress in U.S.-China trade talks, and the growing likelihood of tariffs taking effect on August 1st. These concerns overshadowed early optimism tied to corporate earnings. Starbucks fell sharply after reporting a steeper-than-expected drop in global same-store sales, a sign of tepid consumer demand. The decline raises broader concerns about the health of discretionary spending in the global economy.

European Markets

European markets surged, buoyed by improving earnings expectations with second-quarter corporate profits across the EU forecasted to rise, following a breakthrough in EU-U.S. tariff negotiations.

Spain’s economy posted stronger-than-expected growth, with Q2 GDP expanding by 0.7% compared to 0.6% in the previous quarter. The upside surprise widened the performance gap between Spain and other euro zone economies, where growth remains sluggish, with Spanish retail sales also rising posting a 6.2% increase in June, from the previous year.

UK Markets

UK stocks advanced led by the healthcare sector, as the sector benefited from defensive inflows amid growing economic uncertainty. However, the British pound weakened further, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainty and expectations of dovish policy from the Bank of England, which continues to balance inflation control with deteriorating domestic demand.

Corporate News

Air Canada: Q2 profit dropped to C$0.60/share from C$0.98; weak U.S. traffic hurt earnings despite a rise in revenue to C$5.63B. Plans Q3 capacity growth of 3.25%-3.75%.

Alphabet Inc: Waymo to launch autonomous ride-hailing in Dallas by 2026 via a partnership with Avis Budget.

Baker Hughes Co & Chart Industries Inc: Nearing $13.6B cash deal to buy Chart Industries, disrupting prior Flowserve merger.

Bank of America Corp: CTO Aditya Bhasin retiring; Hari Gopalkrishnan to succeed him.

Barclays PLC: H1 pretax profit rose 23% to £5.2B; announces £1B buyback and 3p/share dividend.Berkshire Hathaway Inc & VeriSign Inc: Berkshire sold ~1/3 of VeriSign stake for $1.23B; ownership falls to 9.6%.

Boeing Co: In early talks with Saab and BAE Systems to potentially replace UK’s Hawk trainer jet.

Bristol Myers Squibb Co: Launches new immunology venture with Bain Capital, licensing five drug candidates.

Brown & Brown Inc: Q2 profit rose as commissions/fees jumped 8.2% to $1.25B; EPS rose to $1.03.

Cadence Design Systems Inc: Raised 2025 guidance; expects $5.21B–$5.27B in revenue. JPMorgan raised price target to $390 from $330.

Centene Corp: Jefferies cut price target to $25 (from $47) citing Medicaid uncertainty and margin concerns.

Cincinnati Financial Corp: Q2 profit more than doubled to $685M ($4.34/share) on higher premiums and investment income.

Citigroup Inc: Expands research coverage to top 100 private firms, with no ratings or earnings forecasts.

Hartford Insurance Group Inc: Q2 profit jumped 35% to $990M ($3.44/share); investment income rose to $664M.

Harley-Davidson Inc: In $5B financing unit stake sale talks with KKR and PIMCO, per Bloomberg.

Nucor Corp: Q2 profit slipped to $2.60/share; expects slightly lower Q3 earnings due to steel segment weakness.

Nomura Holdings Inc: Q1 profit surged 52% to ¥104.6B, its best since 2020, boosted by strong trading and a property gain.

Principal Financial Group Inc: Q2 profit rose on a $4.3M remeasurement gain; AUM up 8% to $752.7B.

Procter & Gamble Co: CEO Jon Moeller to step down, COO Shailesh Jejurikar named successor.

PTC Therapeutics Inc: FDA approved oral drug Sephience for phenylketonuria, expanding revenue sources.

Sarepta Therapeutics Inc: Resumes shipping gene therapy Elevidys to ambulatory patients; non-walking use still under FDA hold.

Spotify Technology SA: Q3 forecast below estimates at €485M in operating income; premium subs outlook beat at 281M.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co & Nvidia Corp: Nvidia ordered 300K H20 chips from TSMC for China amid high demand.

Uber Technologies Inc: U.K. Supreme Court ruled private-hire firms outside London aren’t liable for 20% VAT, favoring competitors.

Union Pacific Corp & Norfolk Southern Corp: Nearing ~$320/share merger, two-thirds stock and one-third cash, creating coast-to-coast U.S. rail network.

UnitedHealth Group Inc: Reinstated FY profit forecast of at least $16/share, below prior $26–$26.50 due to higher care costs.

United Parcel Service Inc: Q2 EPS fell to $1.55 from $1.79; hit by tariffs and macro risks; no FY guidance update.

Universal Health Services Inc: Q2 EPS beat at $5.43 vs. est. $4.92; raised 2025 revenue outlook to $17.10B–$17.31B.

Veralto Corp: Beat Q2 estimates; raised FY EPS guidance to $3.72–$3.80. Revenue reached $1.37B.

Waste Management Inc: Q2 EPS beat at $1.92 vs. est. $1.90; revenue $6.43B vs. $6.36B estimate.

Welltower Inc: Raised FY FFO forecast to $5.06–$5.14; Q2 FFO up 21.9% to $1.28/share on strong senior housing demand.

Western Union Co: JPMorgan cut price target to $9 (from $11), citing costs from anti-fraud efforts and weak growth.

Walt Disney Co: JPMorgan raised target to $138 from $130, citing strength across segments.

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