Market Analysis for Tuesday March 4th, 2025

Market Analysis for Tuesday March 4th, 2025

Global Markets

Canadian Markets

Canada’s Toronto Stock Exchange and the Canadian dollar faced a significant hit on Tuesday as the trade war commenced,  initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariffs. The tariffs, imposed on major trading partners of the U.S., including Canada, Mexico, and China, sparked immediate concerns about the impact on global trade. These tariffs were part of Trump’s “America First” economic policy, aiming to reduce trade deficits and encourage domestic production, but they ignited fears of retaliation and disruptions to international commerce.

American Markets

At the same time, U.S. stocks were down across all indices as the reality and the ambiguity of the trade war set in. Investors, fearing prolonged economic uncertainty and potential retaliation from affected nations, rushed to sell stocks. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq all experienced significant drops, but the Nasdaq managed to claw its way back into the green in the afternoon.  The broad-based sell-off was across industries. The heightened risk led to a decrease in market confidence, and the fear of global economic slowdown caused by these tariffs prompted a “flight to safety,” with investors moving their money into assets like gold and U.S. Treasury bonds.

Tesla, saw its stock price fall by over 6 percent, in which recovered half of its losses in afternoon trading. The catalyst for the stock’s selloff was a report that indicated Tesla’s exports of Chinese-made vehicles had plunged nearly 50 percent in February, which raised concerns over the company’s growth prospects in international markets.

European Markets

European stocks were also down across the board. Shares of European automakers, such as Volkswagen, BMW, and Daimler, all dropped, as they were particularly vulnerable to tariffs due to their significant exposure to the U.S. market.

European stocks, which had previously been on a strong upward trajectory, started to slide back from record highs. The realization that the global economy could be significantly impacted by a trade war triggered a pullback in the market, as investors feared that corporate earnings would be hurt by the rising cost of trade and reduced international demand. The situation became a vicious cycle of uncertainty, as the potential for prolonged trade disputes made it difficult for businesses and investors to plan for the future, creating a climate of risk aversion across global markets.

Corporate Stock News

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc: Shares of Seven & i tumbled after a report that the 7-Eleven owner plans to reject a $47 billion takeover offer from Alimentation Couche-Tard. However, Seven & i expressed that it remains committed to exploring all opportunities, including the proposal from Couche-Tard.

B Riley Financial Inc: Co-founder and co-CEO Bryant Riley dropped plans to take the company private, citing signs of recovery. B. Riley expects to report net income between $48 million and $68 million, with a reduction in debt by $221 million.

Best Buy Co Inc: Best Buy posted a surprise rise in quarterly comparable sales, with a 0.5% increase in Q4, reversing 12 consecutive quarters of decline. However, the company forecasted a challenging FY26 due to high inflation and cautious consumer behavior.

Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd: Brookfield announced its entry into the UK pension insurance market, marking the arrival of a new, sizable player in the sector. The company is set to operate under the Blumont Annuity UK brand.

Citigroup Inc: Citigroup nearly credited about $6 billion to a customer’s account by accident. The error was detected the next business day, and the company is implementing tools to prevent future large, anomalous payments.

General Motors Co: GM hired Barak Turovsky as its first chief AI officer to enhance its AI efforts, particularly in electric vehicles (EVs), autonomous vehicles, and customer experiences.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc: Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund will anchor new funds focused on private credit and public equity in the kingdom and Gulf Cooperation Council countries, subject to regulatory approval.

Honeywell International Inc: Honeywell is nearing a $2.2 billion deal to acquire pump-maker Sundyne from Warburg Pincus, marking another strategic move in its portfolio expansion.

Illumina Inc: China announced a ban on imports of Illumina’s genetic sequencers, effective March 4, following U.S. President Trump’s additional tariff on Chinese goods. Illumina continues to operate in compliance with Chinese regulations.

New Fortress Energy Inc: New Fortress posted a loss in Q4, driven by weaker performance in its ships and terminals. However, the company posted an adjusted profit of 13 cents per share, exceeding analyst expectations.

On Holding AG: The Federer-backed company reported strong Q4 results with a 35.7% rise in sales, driven by its direct-to-consumer model. Net sales from direct sales reached nearly 49% of total sales in Q4.

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc: The company must face a class-action lawsuit claiming it misled consumers about its “Made in USA” aluminum foil. The lawsuit claims Reynolds’ foil is largely produced outside the U.S.

Sea Ltd: Sea Ltd topped Wall Street estimates in Q4, with a 41.3% revenue increase in its e-commerce segment, Shopee, and strong growth in its financial services division. Total revenue rose 36.9% to $4.95 billion.

Target Corp: Target forecasted flat comparable sales growth for the year, citing uncertainty over tariffs and consumer spending. The retailer reported a 1.5% rise in comparable sales for the holiday quarter.

VinFast Auto Ltd: Vingroup signed an MOU with JTA Investment Qatar to explore a potential $1 billion investment in electric vehicle maker VinFast, with discussions about future collaboration ongoing.

Seven & i: Seven & i is considering rejecting a $47 billion takeover offer from Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard but will continue exploring the proposal as part of its commitment to enhance corporate value.

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