Boeing Inc: Morningstar Forecasts 20 Percent Upside

Boeing Inc: Morningstar Forecasts 20 Percent Upside

Boeing (BA) Stock Analysis

Morningstar’s (Rank#54 of 355 ) issued a report on Boeing on July 2nd, which underscores the research firm’s positive outlook on the aerospace giant, maintaining a “Buy” rating with a target price forecast for the next 12 months of $221 per share.

Stock Forecast & Analysis

Consensus Analyst Target and Rating:

  • Average Target Price: Analysts forecast an average target price of USD 235.56 for The Boeing Company over the next 12 months. This suggests a potential upside from the current price of USD 186.70.
  • Average Analyst Rating: The average analyst rating for Boeing is classified as “Strong Buy,” indicating a consensus among analysts that the stock is expected to outperform.

Recent Stock Performance:

  • Price Changes: Boeing’s stock has shown recent volatility:
    • Weekly Change: +4.24%
    • Monthly Change: +5.12%
    • Annual Change: -11.58%

Positive Fundamentals (Bullish Indicators):

  • Positive Cash Flow: Boeing has demonstrated positive total cash flow over the most recent four quarters.
  • Positive Free Cash Flow: The company has also reported positive total free cash flow in the same period.
  • High Market Capitalization: Boeing is recognized as one of the largest entities in its sector, which typically provides greater stability.

Negative Fundamentals (Bearish Indicators):

  • Poor Return on Assets: Boeing’s management has delivered below median return on assets compared to its peers over the past four quarters.
  • Below Median Dividend Returns: The company’s dividend yield over the past five years has been lower compared to its industry peers.
  • Below Median Total Returns: Boeing has underperformed its peers in terms of annual average total returns over the past five years.
  • High Volatility: The stock exhibits above median volatility in total returns within its sector, indicating potential fluctuations in stock price.
  • Poor Risk-Adjusted Returns: Despite potential outperformance in raw returns, Boeing has delivered below median risk-adjusted returns among its peers, suggesting unpredictability.
  • Overpriced on Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow Basis: Boeing’s stock is trading at higher price-to-cash flow and price-to-free cash flow ratios compared to its sector median, potentially indicating overvaluation.
  • Low Revenue and Earnings Growth: Boeing has shown below median growth in revenue and earnings over the past five years, which could affect future profitability and investor sentiment.

Final Analysis:

While analysts maintain a positive outlook with a “Strong Buy” recommendation and a target price suggesting potential upside Target, but the fundamental analysis presents several cautionary signals. Investors should consider Boeing’s strong market position and positive cash flows against its challenges in profitability metrics and valuation metrics compared to peers. The stock’s recent volatility and historical performance underscore the importance of thorough risk assessment and consideration of long-term investment goals before making investment decisions in Boeing.

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