TMX Group Ltd: TD Cowen Raises Valuation on Q2 Upward Revision

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TMX Group Ltd (X:CA)

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TD Cowen has raised its target price for TMX Group Ltd to C$57, up from C$54, following stronger-than-expected second-quarter performance estimates. The investment bank cited robust trading activity and increased capital formation on TMX’s exchanges as the primary drivers behind the improved outlook.

Specifically, higher trading volumes across equities and derivatives, as well as a healthy pipeline of new listings and capital raises, have contributed to stronger revenue expectations. TMX’s performance is benefiting from market volatility, increased investor participation, and sustained demand for capital among Canadian companies—factors that often boost exchange operator revenues through higher transaction and listing fees.

TD Cowen’s upward revision reflects growing confidence in TMX’s ability to capitalize on these market dynamics, maintain operational efficiency, and deliver shareholder value in the near term.

Stock Forecast

TMX Group Ltd. currently holds a consensus analyst rating of “Hold”.  The average 12-month price target stands at approximately C$55.00. Analyst target prices range between C$45 and C$59, reflecting a relatively narrow outlook for the stock’s performance. The subdued sentiment stems from expectations of stable but unspectacular growth, despite recent target price increases like the one from TD Cowen. Overall, the market sees TMX as fairly valued, with limited near-term catalysts to drive significant price appreciation.

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