CIBC (CM:CA)
BMO Capital Markets lifted their 12 month target price to $135.00 from $130.00, reflecting a more constructive outlook on the bank’s near- to medium-term earnings trajectory. BMO’s upward revision is driven by improving earnings expectations, supported by signs of stabilization in credit quality, more resilient net interest margins than previously anticipated, and disciplined cost management. The firm appears increasingly confident that the worst of credit normalization pressures are being absorbed, with loan loss provisions trending toward more normalized levels rather than continuing to escalate.
The higher target also reflects expectations that capital markets activity and wealth management revenues could gradually improve as market volatility eases and client activity picks up. CIBC’s strong capital position provides flexibility to absorb residual macro uncertainty while maintaining shareholder returns through dividends and potential future buybacks.
While BMO’s target increase signals improved confidence in earnings durability, it also suggests a measured outlook rather than a full re-evaluation of the stock. Like its Canadian bank peers, CIBC remains sensitive to economic growth, interest rate expectations, and housing market conditions. As a result, the shares are increasingly viewed as a steady, income-oriented holding with modest upside potential, rather than a high-growth opportunity, as earnings momentum stabilizes into the next fiscal year.

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