Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
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Analyst Update
Guggenheim Securities has reiterated its “Sell” rating on Tesla, Inc. and maintained a 12-month price target of $175.00 ahead of the company’s upcoming earnings release. The bearish stance reflects concerns over margin pressure, demand uncertainty, and intensifying global EV competition, particularly from Chinese automakers.
Guggenheim analysts have previously flagged issues related to Tesla’s price cuts across key markets like the U.S., China, and Europe, which may weigh on profitability in the near term. Additionally, investors remains skeptical about Tesla’s AI and Full Self-Driving (FSD) monetization timeline and sees limited upside in the core auto business without significant breakthroughs.
Maintaining the “Sell” rating before earnings also signals that Guggenheim anticipates underwhelming quarterly performance or cautious forward guidance from Tesla’s management, especially in light of macroeconomic headwinds, slowing global EV sales, and the lack of major new vehicle launches in the current pipeline.
Consensus Outlook
Tesla currently holds a “Hold” consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, reflecting a balanced but cautious sentiment. While some analysts remain bullish on Tesla’s long-term technological and operational potential, others cite concerns around near-term valuation, profit margins, and competitive pressures. This mixed view is further evidenced by the average 12-month price target of approximately $300, which is below the current trading price—a signal that, in the eyes of analysts, Tesla may be overvalued at current levels.
David is veteran trader, and a former investment analyst at private equity firm, and is currently a STA Research analyst.
The skepticism around FSD monetization feels warranted—Tesla’s AI ambitions are promising, but timelines remain fuzzy. Without new vehicle launches or a clear roadmap for profitability, the $175 target doesn’t seem far-fetched.