ARI:NYE-Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (USD)

COMMON STOCK | REIT-Mortgage | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 12.18

Change

+0.02 (+0.16)%

Market Cap

USD 1.71B

Volume

0.88M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 13.50 (+10.84%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) Stock Analysis:
Based on the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc stock forecasts from 1 analysts, the average analyst target price for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is USD 13.50 over the next 12 months. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s average analyst rating is Hold . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 3 positive signals and 6 negative signals. At the last closing, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s stock price was USD 12.18. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s stock price has changed by -4.17% over the past week, -8.83% over the past month and -20.96% over the last year.

About

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

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Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-05-24 )

Largest Industry Peers for REIT-Mortgage

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
NLY-PD Annaly Capital Management, Inc

N/A

USD13.12B N/A N/A
NLY-PF Annaly Capital Management Inc

+0.02 (+0.07%)

USD12.36B 13.41 N/A
NLY-PG Annaly Capital Management Inc

+0.10 (+0.46%)

USD12.14B 12.65 N/A
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc

+0.01 (+0.16%)

USD9.23B 3.57 N/A
STWD Starwood Property Trust Inc

+0.03 (+0.13%)

USD7.24B 10.47 N/A
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

+0.06 (+0.20%)

USD5.04B 10.62 N/A
NRZ New Residential Investment Cor..

-0.07 (-0.65%)

USD4.96B 4.69 N/A
CIM-PA Chimera Investment Corporation

-0.03 (-0.15%)

USD3.22B 31.76 N/A
CIM-PB Chimera Investment Corporation

N/A

USD3.07B 30.11 N/A
TWO-PB Two Harbors Investment Corp

+0.11 (+0.50%)

USD2.97B 39.80 N/A

ETFs Containing ARI

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (REIT-Mortgage)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain -7.45% 78% C+ 65% D
Dividend Return 2.66% 65% D 84% B
Total Return -4.79% 83% B 69% D+
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -19.92% 26% F 32% F
Dividend Return 9.20% 73% C 95% A
Total Return -10.72% 31% F 43% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain -35.73% 52% F 16% F
Dividend Return 43.59% 59% F 96% A
Total Return 7.86% 57% F 37% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 1.89% 100% A+ 38% F
Dividend Return 10.83% 100% A+ 98% A+
Total Return 12.71% 100% A+ 64% D
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 43.14% 50% F 23% F
Risk Adjusted Return 29.46% 50% F 38% F
Market Capitalization 1.71B 69% D+ 59% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(REIT-Mortgage)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 10.39 73% C 71% C-
Price/Book Ratio 0.75 72% C- 85% B
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 8.57 38% F 44% F
EV/EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 7.97% 56% F 42% F
Return on Invested Capital 4.02% 57% F 42% F
Return on Assets 2.25% 75% C 47% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 87.74% 62% D- 41% F
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 11.73% 76% C 94% A
Short Ratio 4.17 19% F 24% F
Short Percent 4.75% 25% F 43% F
Beta 1.28 57% F 30% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

No discussions yet

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Superior total returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual total returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

High dividend returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Revenue Growth

This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.