ARI:NYE-Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (USD)

COMMON STOCK | REIT-Mortgage | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 10.25

Change

0.00 (0.00)%

Market Cap

USD 1.44B

Volume

1.58M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 12.50 (+21.95%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict

ARI Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc stock forecasts from 3 analysts, the average analyst target price for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is USD 12.50 over the next 12 months. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s average analyst rating is Under-perform. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 4 positive signals and 6 negative signals. At the last closing, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s stock price was USD 10.25. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s stock price has changed by -8.32% over the past week, -17.93% over the past month and -32.83% over the last year.

About Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI:NYE)

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States ...Read More

Company Website : https://www.apolloreit.com

Address : 9 West 57th Street, New York, NY, United States, 10019

Fiscal Year End : December

Currency: USD

Country : USA

Technical Indicators

Beta : 1.39

52 Week High : 14.70

Short Ratio : 3.60

52 Week Low : 9.11

Shorted Shares : 3,177,139

200 Day Moving Average : 12.55

Shorted Shares Previous Month : 4,470,649

50 Day Moving Average : 11.87

Shares Held By Insiders : 0.74%

Short Percentage : 3.16%

Shares Held by Institutions : 64.86%

Dividend Yield : 12.67%

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-09-24 )

Largest Industry Peers for REIT-Mortgage

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
NLY-PD Annaly Capital Management, Inc

N/A

 USD13.12B N/A N/A
NLY-PF Annaly Capital Management Inc

N/A

 USD12.30B 13.34 N/A
NLY-PG Annaly Capital Management Inc

N/A

 USD11.72B 12.22 N/A
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc

N/A

 USD10.36B 2.40 N/A
STWD Starwood Property Trust Inc

N/A

 USD7.15B 9.22 N/A
NRZ New Residential Investment Cor..

N/A

 USD5.08B 4.88 N/A
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

N/A

 USD4.93B 11.81 N/A
RITM Rithm Capital Corp.

N/A

 USD4.13B 4.44 N/A
TWO-PA Two Harbors Investment Corp

N/A

 USD2.92B 40.88 N/A
TWO-PB Two Harbors Investment Corp

N/A

 USD2.86B 38.30 N/A

ETFs Containing ARI

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (REIT-Mortgage)		 Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain -22.11% 62% D- 49% F
Dividend Return 5.32% 52% F 88% B+
Total Return -16.79% 61% D- 56% F
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -32.83% 32% F 24% F
Dividend Return 9.17% 76% C 95% A
Total Return -23.66% 33% F 36% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain -44.50% 62% D- 16% F
Dividend Return 44.13% 71% C- 97% A+
Total Return -0.38% 65% D 40% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain -0.60% 44% F 32% F
Dividend Return 10.74% 90% A- 98% A+
Total Return 10.12% 76% C 63% D
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 43.93% 17% F 22% F
Risk Adjusted Return 23.05% 44% F 41% F
Market Capitalization 1.44B 63% D 63% D
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(REIT-Mortgage)		 Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 8.54 82% B- 76% C
Price/Book Ratio 0.69 70% C- 88% B+
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 7.23 44% F 44% F
EV/EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 8.04% 66% D 47% F
Return on Invested Capital 4.02% 61% D- 44% F
Return on Assets 2.10% 73% C 47% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 87.74% 67% D+ 40% F
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 12.67% 78% C+ 95% A
Short Ratio 3.60 55% F 37% F
Short Percent 3.16% 46% F 53% F
Beta 1.39 57% F 24% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

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User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment
Stock Target Advisor

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Superior total returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual total returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

High dividend returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.

Underpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Revenue Growth

This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.