AGO:NYE-Assured Guaranty Ltd (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Insurance-Specialty | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 49.25

Change

+0.98 (+2.03)%

Market Cap

USD 3.37B

Volume

0.39M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 65.00 (+31.98%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) Stock Analysis:
Based on the Assured Guaranty Ltd stock forecasts from 1 analysts, the average analyst target price for Assured Guaranty Ltd is USD 65.00 over the next 12 months. Assured Guaranty Ltd’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Assured Guaranty Ltd is Bearish, which is based on 2 positive signals and 11 negative signals. At the last closing, Assured Guaranty Ltd’s stock price was USD 49.25. Assured Guaranty Ltd’s stock price has changed by +0.28 % over the past week, -6.06 % over the past month and +64.00 % over the last year.

About

Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financi ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2021-12-07 )

Largest Industry Peers for Insurance-Specialty

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
FNF Fidelity National Financial In..

+0.72 (+1.43%)

USD14.09B 5.41 N/A
AIZ Assurant Inc

+1.31 (+0.85%)

USD8.67B 6.83 N/A
FAF First American Financial Corpo..

+1.15 (+1.51%)

USD8.23B 6.76 N/A
AIZP Assurant, Inc

N/A

USD7.47B 18.24 N/A
MTG MGIC Investment Corporation

+0.24 (+1.69%)

USD4.59B 8.06 N/A
RDN Radian Group Inc

+0.13 (+0.62%)

USD3.73B 7.31 N/A
EIG Employers Holdings Inc

-0.38 (-0.94%)

USD1.10B 9.06 N/A
AMBC Ambac Financial Group Inc

+0.41 (+2.72%)

USD0.69B 4.20 N/A
MBI MBIA Inc

+0.13 (+1.13%)

USD0.62B N/A N/A
PROS ProSight Global, Inc

N/A

USD0.56B 11.29 N/A

ETFs Containing AGO

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Insurance-Specialty)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 56.40% 89% B+ 90% A-
Dividend Return 2.79% 57% F 52% F
Total Return 59.19% 89% B+ 90% A-
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain 64.00% 89% B+ 91% A-
Dividend Return 2.93% 57% F 51% F
Total Return 66.93% 89% B+ 91% A-
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 30.46% 44% F 55% F
Dividend Return 9.19% 43% F 32% F
Total Return 39.65% 56% F 51% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 11.30% 67% D+ 63% D
Dividend Return 1.90% 43% F 45% F
Total Return 13.20% 67% D+ 63% D
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 45.89% 11% F 22% F
Risk Adjusted Return 28.75% 44% F 32% F
Market Capitalization 3.37B 44% F 67% D+
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Insurance-Specialty)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 13.61 13% F 61% D-
Price/Book Ratio 0.55 100% A+ 95% A
Price / Cash Flow Ratio -3.95 100% A+ 85% B
EV/EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 4.40% 33% F 34% F
Return on Invested Capital 4.33% 44% F 49% F
Return on Assets 1.58% 33% F 36% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 18.43% 89% B+ 82% B-
Technical Ratios  
Short Ratio 2.77 89% B+ 40% F
Short Percent 3.07% 56% F 50% F
Beta 1.25 56% F 36% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

No discussions yet

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Underpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to book value basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

Low debt

The company is less leveraged than its peers ,, and is among the top quartile, which makes it more flexible. However, do check the news and look at its sector. Sometimes this is low because the company is not growing and has no growth potential.

What to not like:
Low market capitalization

This is among the smaller entities in its sectors with below median market capitalization. That may make it less stable in the long run unless it has a unique technology or market which can help it grow or get acquired in future.

Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Below median total returns

The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Poor return on equity

The company management has delivered below median return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Poor capital utilization

The company management has delivered below median return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Poor return on assets

The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Negative cashflow

The company had negative total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.