AGO:NYE-Assured Guaranty Ltd (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Insurance-Specialty | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 46.55

Change

+0.35 (+0.76)%

Market Cap

USD 2.86B

Volume

0.38M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 65.00 (+39.63%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


AGO Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the Assured Guaranty Ltd stock forecasts from 1 analysts, the average analyst target price for Assured Guaranty Ltd is USD 65.00 over the next 12 months. Assured Guaranty Ltd’s average analyst rating is Hold . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Assured Guaranty Ltd is Bearish, which is based on 3 positive signals and 11 negative signals. At the last closing, Assured Guaranty Ltd’s stock price was USD 46.55. Assured Guaranty Ltd’s stock price has changed by -12.52% over the past week, -12.96% over the past month and -1.38% over the last year.

About Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO:NYE)

Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financi ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-09-27 )

Largest Industry Peers for Insurance-Specialty

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
RYAN Ryan Specialty Group Holdings ..

+1.02 (+2.64%)

USD10.16B 652.00 N/A
FNF Fidelity National Financial In..

-0.19 (-0.54%)

USD10.09B 5.06 N/A
AIZ Assurant Inc

+1.29 (+0.88%)

USD7.85B 17.39 N/A
AIZP Assurant, Inc

N/A

USD7.47B 18.24 N/A
FAF First American Corporation

-0.13 (-0.29%)

USD4.89B 5.71 N/A
MTG MGIC Investment Corp

N/A

USD4.00B 5.79 N/A
ESNT Essent Group Ltd

-0.36 (-1.03%)

USD3.88B 4.41 N/A
RDN Radian Group Inc

-0.05 (-0.26%)

USD3.17B 5.06 N/A
EIG Employers Holdings Inc

-0.21 (-0.60%)

USD0.98B 19.78 N/A
AMBC Ambac Financial Group Inc

-0.16 (-1.27%)

USD0.57B 180.43 N/A

ETFs Containing AGO

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap
VIOV Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 60.. 0.00 % 0.15 %

-0.22 (-0.15%)

USD1.30B

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Insurance-Specialty)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain -7.27% 83% B 78% C+
Dividend Return 1.49% 38% F 39% F
Total Return -5.78% 83% B 77% C+
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain 1.46% 92% A- 87% B+
Dividend Return 2.11% 38% F 40% F
Total Return 3.57% 92% A- 86% B
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 21.76% 90% A- 71% C-
Dividend Return 9.91% 43% F 39% F
Total Return 31.68% 90% A- 70% C-
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 19.10% 100% A+ 84% B
Dividend Return 2.10% 50% F 50% F
Total Return 21.20% 100% A+ 84% B
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 45.54% 8% F 20% F
Risk Adjusted Return 46.55% 92% A- 71% C-
Market Capitalization 2.86B 42% F 73% C
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Insurance-Specialty)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 11.27 45% F 65% D
Price/Book Ratio 0.56 100% A+ 92% A-
Price / Cash Flow Ratio -1.48 83% B 77% C+
EV/EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 5.80% 36% F 40% F
Return on Invested Capital 4.11% 33% F 44% F
Return on Assets 2.37% 50% F 50% F
Debt to Equity Ratio 26.59% 70% C- 76% C
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 2.16% 25% F 35% F
Short Ratio 5.39 42% F 22% F
Short Percent 4.14% 33% F 46% F
Beta 1.07 80% B- 47% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

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User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Superior risk adjusted returns

This stock has performed well, on a risk adjusted basis, compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

High dividend returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.

Underpriced compared to book value

The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to book value basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.

What to not like:
Low market capitalization

This is among the smaller entities in its sectors with below median market capitalization. That may make it less stable in the long run unless it has a unique technology or market which can help it grow or get acquired in future.

High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Below median total returns

The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Poor return on equity

The company management has delivered below median return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Poor capital utilization

The company management has delivered below median return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Poor return on assets

The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.

Negative cashflow

The company had negative total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Revenue Growth

This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

Low Dividend Growth

This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.