AA:NYE-Alcoa Corp (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Aluminum | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 34.70

Change

+0.23 (+0.67)%

Market Cap

USD 6.20B

Volume

7.61M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 72.45 (+108.79%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict

AA Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the Alcoa Corp stock forecasts from 10 analysts, the average analyst target price for Alcoa Corp is USD 72.45 over the next 12 months. Alcoa Corp’s average analyst rating is Buy . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Alcoa Corp is Bullish , which is based on 9 positive signals and 3 negative signals. At the last closing, Alcoa Corp’s stock price was USD 34.70. Alcoa Corp’s stock price has changed by -20.28% over the past week, -37.86% over the past month and -32.70% over the last year.

About Alcoa Corp (AA:NYE)

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. ...Read More

Company Website : https://www.alcoa.com

Address : 201 Isabella Street, Pittsburgh, PA, United States, 15212-5858

Employees : 12,200

Fiscal Year End : December

Currency: USD

Country : USA

Technical Indicators

Beta : 2.32

52 Week High : 97.72

Short Ratio : 2.20

52 Week Low : 34.35

Shorted Shares : 10,927,858

200 Day Moving Average : 61.27

Shorted Shares Previous Month : 7,558,219

50 Day Moving Average : 48.34

Shares Held By Insiders : 0.88%

Short Percentage : 6.85%

Shares Held by Institutions : 86.19%

Dividend Yield : 1.13%

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-09-27 )

Largest Industry Peers for Aluminum

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
ACH Aluminum Corp of China Ltd ADR

+0.03 (+0.37%)

 USD10.01B 8.78 0.94
CSTM Constellium Nv

+0.38 (+3.86%)

 USD1.42B 6.19 4.98

ETFs Containing AA

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap
JKL iShares Morningstar Small.. 0.00 % 0.06 %

N/A

 USD0.37B
PGX Invesco Preferred ETF 0.00 % 0.51 %

+0.05 (+0.43%)

 USD5.44B
SMLF iShares MSCI USA Small-Ca.. 0.00 % 0.30 %

+0.17 (+0.39%)

 USD0.96B
XBM:CA iShares S&P/TSX Global Ba.. 0.00 % 0.60 %

+0.29 (+1.91%)

 USD0.20B
XME SPDR® S&P Metals and Min.. 0.00 % 0.35 %

+1.16 (+2.83%)

 USD1.92B
ZMT:CA BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight .. 0.00 % 0.61 %

N/A

 USD0.04B
PVAL Putnam Focused Large Cap .. 0.00 % 0.55 %

-0.09 (-0.38%)

 USD0.05B
DVLU First Trust Dorsey Wright.. 0.00 % 0.60 %

+0.08 (+0.39%)

 USD0.02B
UCOM ProShares UltraPro Commun.. 0.00 % 0.95 %

N/A

 USD1.27M
XS2D:LSE Xtrackers S&P 500 2x Leve.. 0.00 % 0.60 %

-0.46 (-0.44%)

 USD0.21B
XS7R:LSE Xtrackers MSCI Europe Fin.. 0.00 % 0.30 %

-20.75 (-0.71%)

 USD0.07B
BKSE BNY Mellon ETF Trust - BN.. 0.00 % 0.04 %

+0.11 (+0.15%)

 USD0.04B
ISCV iShares Morningstar Small.. 0.00 % 0.06 %

N/A

 USD0.36B

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Aluminum)		 Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain -41.76% 67% D+ 15% F
Dividend Return 0.50% 50% F 11% F
Total Return -41.26% 67% D+ 15% F
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -31.93% 100% A+ 27% F
Dividend Return 0.78% 100% A+ 14% F
Total Return -31.15% 100% A+ 23% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain -24.70% 67% D+ 33% F
Dividend Return 0.87% 100% A+ 2% F
Total Return -23.83% 67% D+ 21% F
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 48.97% 100% A+ 95% A
Dividend Return 0.15% 100% A+ 4% F
Total Return 49.12% 100% A+ 95% A
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 130.91% 33% F 4% F
Risk Adjusted Return 37.52% 100% A+ 59% F
Market Capitalization 6.20B 67% D+ 82% B-
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Aluminum)		 Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 6.71 67% D+ 81% B-
Price/Book Ratio 1.13 67% D+ 63% D
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 6.74 33% F 44% F
EV/EBITDA 2.25 67% D+ 69% D+
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 19.32% 67% D+ 75% C
Return on Invested Capital 23.16% 100% A+ 89% B+
Return on Assets 12.04% 100% A+ 92% A-
Debt to Equity Ratio 36.94% 100% A+ 68% D+
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 1.13% 50% F 15% F
Short Ratio 2.20 67% D+ 54% F
Short Percent 6.85% 33% F 34% F
Beta 2.32 33% F 4% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

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User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment
Stock Target Advisor

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
Superior risk adjusted returns

This stock has performed well, on a risk adjusted basis, compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

Superior total returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual total returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

High dividend returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.

Superior capital utilization

The company management has delivered better return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Superior return on assets

The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Low debt

The company is less leveraged than its peers ,, and is among the top quartile, which makes it more flexible. However, do check the news and look at its sector. Sometimes this is low because the company is not growing and has no growth potential.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

High Gross Profit to Asset Ratio

This stock is in the top quartile compared to its peers on Gross Profit to Asset Ratio. This is a popular measure among value investors for showing superior returns in the long run.

What to not like:
High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector