AA:NYE-Alcoa Corporation (USD)

COMMON STOCK | Aluminum | NYE

Last Closing Price

USD 60.28

Change

+1.95 (+3.34)%

Market Cap

USD 10.76B

Volume

6.68M

Avg Analyst Target

USD 81.50 (+35.20%)

Avg User Target

USD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


Alcoa Corporation (AA) Stock Analysis:
Based on the Alcoa Corporation stock forecasts from 12 analysts, the average analyst target price for Alcoa Corporation is USD 81.50 over the next 12 months. Alcoa Corporation’s average analyst rating is Buy . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Alcoa Corporation is Bullish , which is based on 10 positive signals and 4 negative signals. At the last closing, Alcoa Corporation’s stock price was USD 60.28. Alcoa Corporation’s stock price has changed by +11.20% over the past week, -31.32% over the past month and +51.84% over the last year.

About

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-05-16 )

Largest Industry Peers for Aluminum

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
ACH Aluminum Corporation of China ..

+0.20 (+2.03%)

USD10.30B 8.19 0.91
CSTM Constellium SE

+0.08 (+0.51%)

USD2.22B 5.74 4.93

ETFs Containing AA

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap
JKL iShares Morningstar Small.. 0.00 % 0.06 %

N/A

USD0.37B
PGX Invesco Preferred ETF 0.00 % 0.51 %

+0.18 (+1.47%)

USD5.75B
SMLF iShares MSCI USA Small-Ca.. 0.00 % 0.30 %

-0.02 (-0.04%)

USD0.96B
XBM:CA iShares S&P/TSX Global Ba.. 0.00 % 0.60 %

+0.29 (+1.51%)

USD0.28B
XME SPDR Series Trust - SPDR .. 0.00 % 0.35 %

+0.12 (+0.24%)

USD3.14B
ZMT:CA BMO Equal Weight Global B.. 0.00 % 0.61 %

+0.45 (+0.86%)

USD0.05B
PVAL Putnam Focused Large Cap .. 0.00 % 0.55 %

-0.04 (-0.16%)

USD0.03B
DVLU First Trust Dorsey Wright.. 0.00 % 0.60 %

+0.10 (+0.41%)

USD0.02B
UCOM ProShares UltraPro Commun.. 0.00 % 0.95 %

N/A

USD1.27M
XS2D:LSE Xtrackers - S&P 500 2x Le.. 0.00 % 0.60 %

-1.55 (-1.24%)

USD0.19B
XS7R:LSE Xtrackers - Stoxx Europe .. 0.00 % 0.30 %

-15.75 (-0.54%)

USD0.07B
BKSE BNY Mellon ETF Trust - BN.. 0.00 % 0.04 %

-0.40 (-0.51%)

N/A
ISCV iShares Morningstar Small.. 0.00 % 0.06 %

+0.03 (+0.06%)

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Aluminum)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 1.17% 100% A+ 83% B
Dividend Return 0.34% 100% A+ 21% F
Total Return 1.51% 100% A+ 83% B
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain 48.18% 100% A+ 95% A
Dividend Return 0.74% 100% A+ 13% F
Total Return 48.92% 100% A+ 95% A
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain 90.58% 67% D+ 86% B
Dividend Return 0.95% 100% A+ 2% F
Total Return 91.53% 67% D+ 84% B
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain 48.56% 100% A+ 94% A
Dividend Return 0.07% 100% A+ 2% F
Total Return 48.64% 100% A+ 94% A
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 130.97% 33% F 5% F
Risk Adjusted Return 37.13% 67% D+ 45% F
Market Capitalization 10.76B 100% A+ 84% B
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Aluminum)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 15.32 33% F 53% F
Price/Book Ratio 2.20 67% D+ 36% F
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 11.69 33% F 35% F
EV/EBITDA 4.15 67% D+ 83% B
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 16.24% 67% D+ 69% D+
Return on Invested Capital 23.23% 100% A+ 89% B+
Return on Assets 10.69% 100% A+ 91% A-
Debt to Equity Ratio 37.21% 100% A+ 69% D+
Technical Ratios  
Dividend Yield 0.69% 100% A+ 3% F
Short Ratio 1.18 67% D+ 66% D
Short Percent 5.01% 33% F 42% F
Beta 2.30 67% D+ 6% F
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (USD)

Quarterly Financials (USD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
High market capitalization

This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.

Superior total returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual total returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.

High dividend returns

The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.

Superior capital utilization

The company management has delivered better return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Superior return on assets

The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.

Low debt

The company is less leveraged than its peers ,, and is among the top quartile, which makes it more flexible. However, do check the news and look at its sector. Sometimes this is low because the company is not growing and has no growth potential.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Superior Dividend Growth

This stock has shown top quartile dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector

High Gross Profit to Asset Ratio

This stock is in the top quartile compared to its peers on Gross Profit to Asset Ratio. This is a popular measure among value investors for showing superior returns in the long run.

What to not like:
High volatility

The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Low Earnings Growth

This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector