NCM:CA:TSX-Newcrest Mining Ltd (CAD)

COMMON STOCK | Gold | TSX

Last Closing Price

CAD 22.94

Change

+0.84 (+3.80)%

Market Cap

CAD 18.41B

Volume

1.30K

Avg Analyst Target

CAD 27.00 (+17.70%)

Avg User Target

CAD
Average Analyst Rating

Verdict

Fundamental Analysis

Verdict


Newcrest Mining Ltd (NCM) Stock Analysis:
Based on the Newcrest Mining Ltd stock forecasts from 2 analysts, the average analyst target price for Newcrest Mining Ltd is CAD 27.00 over the next 12 months. Newcrest Mining Ltd’s average analyst rating is Buy . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Newcrest Mining Ltd is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 4 positive signals and 6 negative signals. At the last closing, Newcrest Mining Ltd’s stock price was CAD 22.94. Newcrest Mining Ltd’s stock price has changed by +1.04% over the past week, +1.14% over the past month and -12.81% over the last year.

About

Newcrest Mining Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mine development, mine operation, and sale of gold and gold/copper concentrates. It is also involved in the exploration and production of silver deposits. The company primarily owns and operates ...Read More

Technical Indicators

Unadjusted Closing Price

Adjusted Closing Price

Share Volume

Relative Performance (Total Returns)

Compare
Relative Returns (From:    To: 2022-01-17 )

Largest Industry Peers for Gold

Symbol Name Price(Change) Market Cap Price / Earning Ratio EV/EBITDA
NGT:CA Newmont Corporation

-0.29 (-0.38%)

CAD61.27B 24.22 11.44
ABX:CA Barrick Gold Corporation

+0.05 (+0.21%)

CAD41.71B 16.83 5.77
FNV:CA Franco-Nevada Corporation

-0.43 (-0.26%)

CAD31.21B 36.11 29.38
WPM:CA Wheaton Precious Metals Corp

+0.27 (+0.54%)

CAD22.42B 28.80 26.20
AEM:CA Agnico Eagle Mines Limited

-0.04 (-0.06%)

CAD15.80B 19.45 9.24
KL:CA Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd

-0.11 (-0.22%)

CAD13.37B 12.13 6.88
K:CA Kinross Gold Corporation

+0.10 (+1.43%)

CAD8.77B 7.00 4.08
EDV:CA Endeavour Mining plc

+0.01 (+0.04%)

CAD6.81B 14.01 5.59
YRI:CA Yamana Gold Inc

-0.05 (-0.95%)

CAD5.06B 30.17 4.73
BTO:CA B2Gold Corp

N/A

CAD4.72B 8.51 4.07

ETFs Containing NCM:CA

Symbol Name Weight Mer Price(Change) Market Cap

N/A

Market Performance

  Market Performance vs.
Industry/Classification (Gold)
Market Performance vs. Exchange
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
YTD  
Capital Gain 2.18% 81% B- 76% C
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return 2.18% 81% B- 75% C
Trailing 12 Months  
Capital Gain -12.81% 61% D- 15% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return -12.81% 60% D- 14% F
Trailing 5 Years  
Capital Gain N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Average Annual (5 Year Horizon)  
Capital Gain -2.54% 17% F 10% F
Dividend Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Return -2.54% 18% F 8% F
Risk Return Profile  
Volatility (Standard Deviation) 6.04% 100% A+ 85% B
Risk Adjusted Return -42.11% 5% F 5% F
Market Capitalization 18.41B 95% A 89% B+
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 87%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Key Financial Ratios

  Ratio vs. Industry/Classification
(Gold)
Ratio vs. Market
  Value Sector Median Percentile Rank Grade Market Median Percentile Rank Grade
Market Value  
Price / Earning Ratio 12.43 50% F 56% F
Price/Book Ratio 1.36 55% F 58% F
Price / Cash Flow Ratio 8.00 29% F 50% F
EV/EBITDA 6.80 42% F 67% D+
Management Effectiveness  
Return on Equity 12.43% 68% D+ 64% D
Return on Invested Capital 9.42% 65% D 81% B-
Return on Assets 6.94% 67% D+ 84% B
Debt to Equity Ratio 16.15% 49% F 79% C+
Technical Ratios  
Short Ratio 20.61 4% F 5% F
Short Percent N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Beta 0.44 86% B 87% B+
Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage Letter Grade Percentage
A+ 97%-100% A 93%-96% A- 90%-92%
B+ 97%-89% B 83%-86% B- 80%-82%
C+ 77%-79% C 73%-76% C- 70%-72%
D+ 67%-69% D 63%-66% D- 60%-62%
F 0%-59%

Annual Financials (CAD)

Quarterly Financials (CAD)

Analyst Ratings

Target Price Action Rating Action Analyst Rating Price Date

Discussions

User / Independent Analyst Ratings

User Name Target Rating Target Horizon (Months) Target Price User Analysis Date Comment

Fundamental Analysis Breakdown

This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

What to like:
High market capitalization

This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.

Low volatility

The stock’s annual returns have been stable and consistent compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. Although stability is good, also keep in mind it can limit returns.

Positive cash flow

The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

Positive free cash flow

The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.

What to not like:
Poor risk adjusted returns

This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.

Below median dividend returns

The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.

Overpriced compared to earnings

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.

Overpriced on cashflow basis

The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

Highly leveraged

The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.

Low Revenue Growth

This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector