{"id":48375,"date":"2024-04-24T13:30:45","date_gmt":"2024-04-24T13:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/?p=48375"},"modified":"2024-04-24T13:55:38","modified_gmt":"2024-04-24T13:55:38","slug":"canadian-national-railway-cnr-earnings-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.stocktargetadvisor.com\/blog\/canadian-national-railway-cnr-earnings-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Canadian National Railway (CNR): Earnings Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><strong>Canadian National Railway<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stocktargetadvisor.com\/stock\/Canada\/TSX\/CNR\">Canadian National Railway (CNR)<\/a> has recently released its Q1\/24 earnings report, showcasing a performance that aligns with expectations and sets a trajectory towards its projected growth. With analysts closely monitoring its progress, CNR\u2019s financials and outlook offer insights into the railway giant\u2019s stability and future prospects.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Earnings Performance<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>CNR reported its Q1\/24 earnings per share (EPS) in line with expectations, demonstrating progress towards achieving approximately 10% EPS growth. Analysts Cherilyn Radbourne, CPA, CA, CFA, and Patrick Sullivan express optimism about the company&#8217;s performance, reinforcing investor confidence in its trajectory.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Financial Overview<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Symbol:<\/strong> TSX: CNR-CA<\/li>\n<li><strong>12-Month Dividend (Est.):<\/strong> C$3.45<\/li>\n<li><strong>Beta:<\/strong> 0.88<\/li>\n<li><strong>12-Month Total Return:<\/strong> 9.4%<\/li>\n<li><strong>52-Week Range:<\/strong> C$179.82-C$144.28<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market Cap:<\/strong> C$113.3B<\/li>\n<li><strong>Net Debt (MM):<\/strong> C$18,236.0<\/li>\n<li><strong>Cash\/Share:<\/strong> C$5.73<\/li>\n<li><strong>Diluted Shares Out (MM):<\/strong> 659.1<\/li>\n<li><strong>Float Shares (MM):<\/strong> 641.9<\/li>\n<li><strong>Float Cap ($mm):<\/strong> C$113,533<\/li>\n<li><strong>Net Debt\/EBITDA:<\/strong> 2.2x<\/li>\n<li><strong>Enterprise Value (MM):<\/strong> C$134,486.3<\/li>\n<li><strong>BV\/Share:<\/strong> C$31.30<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dividend:<\/strong> C$3.22<\/li>\n<li><strong>Yield:<\/strong> 1.8%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Financial Projections<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>2023A:<\/strong> C$8,414.0 (EBITDA)<\/li>\n<li><strong>2024E:<\/strong> C$9,022.0 (EBITDA)<\/li>\n<li><strong>2025E:<\/strong> C$9,924.0 (EBITDA)<\/li>\n<li><strong>2026E:<\/strong> C$10,706.0 (EBITDA)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Quarterly EPS<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Q1:<\/strong> C$1.82 (Actual) | C$1.72 (Estimated)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Q2:<\/strong> C$1.76 (Estimated)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Q3:<\/strong> C$1.69 (Estimated)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Q4:<\/strong> C$2.02 (Estimated)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Analyst Insight<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Analysts anticipate a modest increase in Street confidence following Q1\/24 results, expecting around 10% EPS growth. However, given the current trading multiples, the quarter might not provide significant upside catalyst for the share price.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Earnings Impact<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Q1\/24 results were slightly positive, with revenue declining 1% y\/y due to lower fuel surcharge revenue. CN reaffirmed its 2024 guidance, characterizing Q1\/24 as on plan or slightly ahead.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Outlook<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>CNR reaffirms its outlook for ~10% adjusted diluted EPS growth in 2024. Mid-single-digit RTM growth is expected, driven by various growth initiatives.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Valuation<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>CNR is trading at 22.1x 2024E EPS (consensus), at the high-end of historical range. The target price of $190 is based on 20.0x EPS estimate for the 12 months ending March 31, 2026.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Investment Risks<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Economic downturns, labour disruptions, regulatory changes, competition, and weather disruptions pose risks. CN estimates a $0.01 weakening\/strengthening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar affects annual EPS by ~$0.04.<\/p>\n<h2>CNR Stock Forecast &amp; Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>Analysts play a crucial role in guiding investors by providing insights into a company&#8217;s performance and future prospects. For <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stocktargetadvisor.com\/stock\/Canada\/TSX\/CNR\/analyst-rating\">Canadian National Railway Co (CNR)<\/a>, the consensus among analysts offers valuable guidance for investors looking to understand the stock&#8217;s potential trajectory.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the forecasts of 20 analysts, the average target price for CNR over the next 12 months stands at CAD 171.30. This target price serves as a benchmark for investors, indicating the level at which analysts believe the stock should be valued in the near future.<\/p>\n<p>The average analyst rating for CNR is &#8220;Buy,&#8221; reflecting a positive sentiment towards the stock&#8217;s performance and growth prospects. This rating underscores analysts&#8217; confidence in CNR&#8217;s ability to deliver value to investors over time.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stocktargetadvisor.com\/\">Stock Target Advisor<\/a>, a trusted source for stock analysis, has conducted its own assessment of CNR&#8217;s outlook. Their analysis categorizes CNR as &#8220;Bullish,&#8221; indicating a positive outlook based on the evaluation of various signals.<\/p>\n<p>At the last closing, CNR&#8217;s stock price was recorded at CAD 176.79. This price point serves as a reference for investors, indicating the current market valuation of CNR&#8217;s shares.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of recent performance, CNR&#8217;s stock price has shown resilience, with a slight increase of +0.52% over the past week. However, over the past month, the stock has experienced a modest decline of -1.39%. Despite this short-term fluctuation, CNR&#8217;s stock has demonstrated positive growth over the last year, with an impressive increase of +6.16%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canadian National Railway Canadian National Railway (CNR) has recently released its Q1\/24 earnings report, showcasing a performance that aligns with expectations and sets a trajectory&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":32143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","post_format-post-format-image"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v19.4 (Yoast SEO v21.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Canadian National Railway (CNR): Earnings Analysis | 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