Royal Caribbean(RCL:NYE)Barclays downgrades on industry outlook

STA Research
by: STA Research

Barclay Bank’s analyst Felicia Hendrix today downgraded Royal Caribbean to Equal Weight from Overweight.  Hendrix cut her target on the stock to $50 from $55. Hendrix’s thesis for the downgrade is she believes cruise stocks will be “range bound at best” or possibly lower in the near to mid-term as reduced earnings need to be reflected in the valuation.  The Cruise Ship industry is experiencing  a increase in financial leveraging, murky future earnings and the continued impact of the COVID-19. Hendrix’s perspective is that the Lodging and Gaming sectors garner a more attractive risk/reward scenario and outlook compared to the  Cruise Ship industry.

STA Research(stocktargetadvisor) has a average target of $80 on the stock, and a consensus Buy rating. STA’s  view of the stock is Slightly Bullish with a score of 6 out of 10, where 0 is very bearish and 10 very bullish.

What to like:
High market capitalization
This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.
Superior risk adjusted returns
This stock has performed well, on a risk adjusted basis, compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.
High dividend returns
The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top
quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.
Superior return on equity
The company management has delivered better return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters then its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
Superior capital utilization
The company management has delivered better return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
Superior return on assets
The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
Positive cash flow
The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Positive free cash flow
The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Superior Dividend Growth
This stock has shown top quartile dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector                                                                                                                                                                
What to not like:
High volatility
The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.
Below median total returns
The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.
Overpriced compared to earnings
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.
Overpriced compared to book value
The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.
Overpriced on cashflow basis
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.
Overpriced on free cash flow basis
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to free cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.

 

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