Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM:CA) (CM)
Canaccord Genuity recently raised its 12 month target price on CIBC to C$136.00 from C$129.00, while maintaining a Hold rating, reflecting a modestly improved earnings outlook but a balanced risk-reward profile at current valuation levels.
The valuation increase reflects a stronger-than-expected quarterly performance, including stable net interest margins and resilient loan growth across core Canadian banking operations. Improved capital markets activity and steady wealth management contributions may also be supporting earnings momentum. Additionally, credit performance appears to be tracking within manageable ranges, with provisions for credit losses stabilizing relative to earlier stress assumptions.
However, the decision to maintain a Hold rating suggests that Canaccord views much of the near-term upside as already priced in. CIBC continues to carry relatively higher exposure to Canadian consumer and residential mortgage lending compared with some peers, making its earnings trajectory more sensitive to housing market conditions and household leverage trends. Margin compression risks, funding costs, and potential credit normalization remain key variables.

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